Can a crystal ball help us to forecast the affect of Brexit on the UK property market

A deeper look into the crystal ball of mortgages

At present, the 5-year fixed rate mortgage is much lower than this time in 2018, not only in the residential market but also in the buy to let arena too. In contrast to this, there has been a ‘creeping rise’ in 2-year and tracker products.

For the residential mortgage market, the often-mooted comparison is between the 2-year or 5-year deals. Historically a 5-year deal would cost a certain percentage more and whilst this remains true for some lenders, many have adjusted their medium-term plans for lending, bringing their 5-year products far closer to parity with the 2-year fixed.

Property Master, a digital platform that uses algorithms to match the requirements of individual private landlords against the entire BTL mortgage market, says that it is 5-year fixed rate mortgages where the price falls can be seen most clearly.

The platform’s monthly ‘Mortgage Tracker’, which follows the costs of a range of BTL mortgage products for an interest-only loan of £150,000 shows 5-year fixed rate offers for 50, 65 and 75 per cent of the value of a property are all down year-on-year.

Savings for each of these mortgages for individual landlord borrowers respectively are £8, £29 and £21 per month.

The cost of many 2-year fixed rates was up year on year. Tracker deals, historically lower than fixed-rate deals are generally up (year on year) too.

But why?

Lenders seem to be speculating about the short-term future of interest rates, paying close attention to the ongoing ‘Punch and Judy’ show between the UK and the EU, imaginatively titled: Brexit.

While the official economic forecast predicts a period of slowing growth, it is also difficult to predict what could happen with interest rates. Some believe that a spike in the cost of goods could trigger an increase in the bank of England base rate to curb spending. Others believe that ‘false inflation’ could be softened by a reduction in the base rate. Quantitative easing is another action which could be employed to aid the economy in times of need. Any of these outcomes could mean a change in the cost of wholesale lending for banks.

The lending strategy is often underpinned by speculation in the market, and with the next 12-24 months being hard to predict, my guess is that banks would prefer their mortgage holders to have medium to long term deals. This provides the bank with the security of a medium-term contract, allowing them to make medium-term plans, set to be reviewed following the turbulence of Brexit if the Brexit process ever ends…

There has also been a rise in popularity for longer-term fixed rates such as 7- and 10-year deals, with popularity leading to competitive rates, many are opting for the ‘longer, longer’ fixed rate.

If you would like to review your current mortgage or are thinking of purchasing a new home for yourself or to invest in property, interest rates are currently quite attractive and there are many options. Speak to one of our advisors.

James Boland

Managing Director

Morgans McGrath, in partnership with Dawsons financial services.

Rugby Six Nations at Dawsons

Our Dawsons Welsh Update of the Rugby Six Nations Championship

Of course, at Dawsons, we are all rugby mad and will be supporting Wales with great enthusiasm throughout the Six Nations Championship.  We have asked one of our most enthusiastic supporters, David Parton, the manager of our Killay office, to keep us up to date after each match, read his updates further down.

A bit of History:

The Six Nations is a historic tournament dating back to 1883 when Wales, England, Scotland and Ireland hosted their own ‘Home Nations Championship’. The format we know today was formed in 2000 with the addition of Italy (with France being part of proceedings since 1910).

This year’s tournament is the 19th edition of the modern format and after the 1st round of matches, the favourites and holders (Ireland) are no longer in contention for the Grand Slam. In recent years the title has been won by either Ireland or England however Wales are now in contention with an impressive 24-19 victory away to France in the opening round. This year’s tournament is particularly important as the Rugby Union World Cup takes place at the back end of the year.

Match Schedule February / March 2019:

  • Fri 1st: France v Wales 8.00pm
  • Sat 2nd: Scotland v Italy 2.15pm
  • Sat 2nd: Ireland v England 4.45pm
  • Sat 9th: Scotland v Ireland 2.15pm
  • Sat 9th: Italy v Wales 4.45pm
  • Sun 10th: England v France 3.00pm
  • Sat 23rd: France v Scotland 2.15pm
  • Sat 23rd: Wales v England 4.45pm
  • Sun 24th: Italy v Ireland, 3.00pm March
  • Sat 9th: Scotland v Wales 2.15pm
  • Sat 9th: England v Italy 4.45pm
  • Sun 10th: Ireland v France, 3.00pm
  • Sat 16th: Italy v France 12.30pm
  • Sat 16th: Wales v Ireland 2.45pm
  • Sat 16th: England v Scotland, 5.00pm

Match Update Italy v Wales Sat 9th February:

A wins a win! I think that’s the best we can say after that performance!? 

Two wins away from home to start the Six Nations Championship against France and Italy which takes us up to a record 11 wins in a row! 

This now sets up a mouthwatering encounter with a very strong looking English team at Home in a fortnights time! England thumped France this week in Twickenham! Wales will need to improve to be in with a chance of competing with them! 

It will be a top of the table clash, with England being just ahead of Wales on Points. Both teams will be determined to win to continue their unbeaten run in the competition and keep the Grand Slam dream alive!

I’m not worried! You’re worried! Shut up!! 

Cymru am Byth!!!”

David is the manager of the Dawsons Killay office

David Parton, Branch Manager Killay Office

landlord training wales by Dawsons Property

LANDLORD TRAINING WALES

Landlord Training Wales offered by Dawsons Property

It is a legal requirement for anyone who owns a rented property in Wales, to register with the Government regulator, Rent Smart Wales.

All landlords and letting agents who deal with management duties and tenants must also be licensed under the Rent Smart Wales regulation which became enforceable in October 2016.

To obtain a license you will need to undergo training by an approved training provider. Which is where we can assist.

landlord training wales by Dawsons Property

We offer both landlord and agent training courses at affordable rates. Landlord Training Wales is the most convenient and painless way to complete your Rent Smart Wales training. We want to make sure that your experience is as smooth as possible.

Visit our website and start your training today!

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Dawsons announce the Matrix Deal

Dawsons Commercial and the Matrix Deal

Employed on a joint-agency basis with Savills, Dawsons have recently acted in the commercial letting of the well known Matrix One building, in Swansea Enterprise Park.

Dawsons announce the Matrix Deal

The Grade A office space offered Tenants c. 30,000 sqft of useable space with the Enterprise Park attracting national and international companies alike. Over two lettings, deals were agreed for a combined 25,000 sqft and this indicates that demand for high-quality office space within Swansea is present. Both lettings were agreed with well-known businesses and further interest still presented itself even after the deals were agreed. The Welsh Ambulance Service NHS Trust and the New Zealand Manuka Group have agreed new 10 year leases at the property. The ambulance trust will occupy the ground and part first floor with the New Zealand Manuka Group taking the second floor.

Gary Carver, director in the business space team at Savills Cardiff, comments: “We are delighted to have secured two new tenants at Matrix One. The building provides high-quality space with excellent parking. As a result of the lettings the property now only has one suite left on the first floor.”
Matthew Mason, associate with Dawsons in Swansea, comments. “These are significant and high profile lettings within the Swansea office market and it goes to show there is demand for high-quality space such as that at Matrix One. We now hope this will be the stimulus to attract a further high profile tenant to occupy the only remaining suite within the building”.

Dawsons announce the Matrix Deal

With the Swansea Bay City Region deal of £500 million aiming to transform the region into a digital super-hub, building on the strengths of the local universities, there is no better time to relocate your tech business to Swansea.

Speak to one of our Surveyors in our Commercial Department today for tailored advice on your next property acquisition.

Commercial Department

Address:
11 Walter Road,
Swansea,
SA1 5NF

Telephone:  01792 478908

eMail: sw@dawsonsproperty.co.uk

DAWSONS WIN A FEEFO GOLD SERVICE AWARD FOR 2018

Dawsons Received ‘FEEFO GOLD’ Trusted Service Award 2019

We are so delighted to hear that we have just won the Feefo Gold Service award, an independent seal of excellence that recognises businesses for delivering exceptional experiences, as rated by real customers.

Created by Feefo, Trusted Service is awarded only to those businesses who use Feefo to collect genuine reviews and insights. Those who meet the high standard, based on the number of reviews they have collected, and their average rating, receive the award.

The Feefo Award is a badge of honour, and this accreditation remains unique, as it is based purely on the interactions with real customers. As all reviews are verified as genuine, the accreditation is a true reflection of a business’ commitment to outstanding service.

Dawsons have met the criteria of collecting at least 50 reviews between January 1st 2018 and December 31st 2018, with a Feefo service rating of between 4.5 and 5.0.

Chris Hope, our Senior Partner commented: “We’re thrilled to receive this award from Feefo. It recognises how hard we’ve been working to give great experiences to all our customers, who are the most important judges of what we do. We’re committed to delivering the highest quality of service, so it’s important for us to listen, understand and respond to all our customers. Feefo enabled us to consistently improve throughout 2018 and now we’re looking forward to another successful year ahead.”

Matt West, CEO at Feefo, congratulated Dawsons, saying: “The Trusted Service award has always been about recognising those companies that excel beyond the norm. This year we’ve seen many remarkable businesses leveraging the full potential of Feefo to provide outstanding levels of experience for their customers – and rightly being awarded our most prestigious accreditation. I’m looking forward to the continued success of the businesses that work in partnership with us throughout 2019.”

Feefo is a reviews and customer insights technology company that provides businesses with the tools to collect real, purchase-verified reviews and insights. Working with over 3,500 clients, Feefo ensures that all feedback is authentic, by matching it to a legitimate transaction, in order to increase consumer confidence and enable businesses to make smarter business decisions.

Dawsons have scored 4.7 for their Feefo Reviews

READ OUR REVIEWS HERE

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Dawsons Valentines Day Competition

Valentines Day Competition

The team at Dawsons are offering 2 FREE meals for 2 people, just in time for this year’s Valentines Day!

Love in Swansea with Dawsons Property

Two MEALS at two VENUES in The Uplands, Swansea are on offer and to enter you just need to LIKE & FOLLOW our

Dawsons Facebook Page

https://www.facebook.com/DawsonsPropertySwansea/

https://www.facebook.com/DawsonsPropertySwansea/

AND / OR

FINE & COUNTRY, SWANSEA FACEBOOK PAGE

Facebook PAGE FOR FINE & COUNTRY SWANSEA

https://www.facebook.com/fineandcountryswansea/

(If you like & follow both pages, you will get 2 entries)

and

please SHARE the Valentine’s Day Competition Post, pinned to the top of our newsfeed on both pages.

So PRIZE ONE:

Maisies Gin Bar & Restaurant

2 MAIN COURSES (to the cost of £35) plus gin and tonic for 2 with the meal at

Maisies Gin Bar & Restaurant, 39 Uplands Crescent, Swansea SA2 0NP

DAWSONS VALUENTINES DAY COMPETITION

MAISIES GIN & TONIC

T&C’s for Maisie’s Voucher

  • Voucher must be used within one month of purchase.
  • If the meal exceeds the price of £35, the additional spend must be settled.
  • If less than £35 is spent there is no change given.
  • The voucher can only be redeemed against the cost of 2 main meals plus 2 gin & tonics.
  • Reservations are subject to availability. Please call the
    restaurant as per the contact details. Purchase of the voucher is
    not a guarantee of a reservation at the time of your choice.
  • Vouchers are not transferable, refundable in cash or
    replaceable if lost, destroyed or stolen.
  • Voucher queries relating to the menus, restaurants or bookings
    please call 01792 518768 or contact Maisies Gin Bar & Restaurant, 39 Uplands Crescent, Swansea, SA2 0NP

So PRIZE TWO:

Meal for 2 people at The Bookshop in Uplands Swansea

2 MAIN COURSES (to the cost of £30) at

The Bookshop Cocktail Bar, 27 Uplands Crescent, Swansea SA2 0NX

IMG_5269

IMG_0628a

 T&C’s for The Bookshop Voucher

  • The BookShop voucher is valid for two people to order off the
    main menu – 2 guests will dine from 1 course each for a total
    of £30. Starters and Desserts not included.
  • The validity period of The BookShop voucher cannot, under any
    circumstances, be extended or altered to a different period.
    Must be used within 3 months after purchase.
  • Please note that The BookShop vouchers are not valid on any
    Bank Holidays or any evenings where events are being held.
  • To redeem your BookShop voucher, a booking must be made in
    advance, directly with the restaurant.
  • Reservations are subject to availability. Please call the
    restaurant as per the contact details. Purchase of the voucher is
    not a guarantee of a reservation at the time of your choice.
  • The voucher must be presented (printed or smartphone) by the
    bearer on arrival.
  • Vouchers can be used as full or part payment on goods and
    services The BookShop Bar.
  • Vouchers are not transferable, refundable in cash or
    replaceable if lost, destroyed or stolen.
  • Vouchers can only be used for a single transaction; any
    of the remaining amount is not exchangeable for cash or another
    voucher and will be automatically forfeited.
  • Vouchers cannot be used in conjunction with any other offers.
  • The company reserves the right to amend these terms and
    conditions without prior notice.
  • Voucher queries relating to the menus, restaurants or bookings
    please call 01792 463445 or email; info@bookshopbar.com